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Upstream by Tettares

Issue 5 · September 15, 2026 · Physical AI / Defense

Who Owns the Means of War Production?

Everyone says America depends on China for energy and rare earths. Is the defense sector next? We traced it, document by document.

Is America’s defense industry hostage to Chinese suppliers?

Less than you’d fear, mostly, and for a reason worth sitting with: nobody has actually gone looking before, document by document, at the same depth the rare-earth story gets.

The public conversation about America’s defense-sector dependence on China runs almost entirely on estimates, trade-flow charts, think-tank extrapolation, the same handful of numbers recycled from report to report. That’s a strange way to talk about a supply chain when the underlying paper trail, filings, customs records, teardowns, actually exists and is checkable. So we checked it. The question wasn’t “is America dependent on China,” which is too broad to answer honestly. It was narrower and harder: who supplies the companies that supply the U.S. military, by name, and how far does China actually reach into that chain before the documentation runs out.

The answer has real texture to it, and the texture is the finding. The Pentagon’s direct suppliers are almost entirely clean, not because defense contractors are especially virtuous but because the companies we can trace best there are newer defense-tech and space firms with shallow, recent supply chains, not the decades-deep prime contractors whose sourcing predates most of what we’ve built. One hop down, where those companies buy their own components, a real and specific problem appears, and it isn’t diffuse. It’s concentrated in exactly the place you’d expect if you understood how semiconductor supply chains actually work: the materials and packaging behind the chips, not the chips’ design. Seven companies clear our bar for naming a confirmed Chinese supplier: Micron, Texas Instruments, GlobalFoundries, Qualcomm, Vertiv, SpaceX, and Rocket Lab.

Supplier country, tier one versus tier two, before review Where the suppliers are, one hop apart Country of headquarters, before the review below. Tier one: direct sellers to a defense agency. Tier two: those companies' own suppliers. TIER ONE: 28 DIRECT SELLERS, ZERO CHINESE United States 25 Plus one supplier each from Canada, France and Israel. TIER TWO: 219 SUPPLIERS ONE HOP DOWN, BEFORE REVIEW United States 59 China 26 Taiwan 26 Japan 19 Germany 18 South Korea 17 Plus 21 more countries, 54 suppliers total. 9 of the 28 tier-one buyers touch a Chinese supplier at all. United States China Everywhere else
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